“In Europe’s Shadow is a masterful work of important history, analysis and prophecy about the ancient and modern rise of Romania as a roundabout between Russia and Europe. I learned something new on every page. Kaplan is a master.” – Tom Brokaw
“Robert Kaplan’s fascinating, prodigiously researched and important new book shines light on an ancient truth: geography has been the predominant factor in determining the fate of nations, from pharaonic Egypt to the Arab Spring.” – Dr. Henry Kissinger
“An intellectual treat: Beautiful writing is not incompatible with geopolitical imagination and historical flair!” – Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski
A major new book by New York Times bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman (The Next 100 Years), with a bold thesis about coming events in Europe. This provocative work examines “flashpoints,” unique geopolitical hot spots where tensions have erupted throughout history, and where conflict is due to emerge again.
“There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8 Ball.” —The New York Times Magazine
A fascinating, eye-opening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the U.S. and the world from one of our most incisive futurists. In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future.
In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future. Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research. For example, The U.S.-Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become an important force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live (and fight wars). Riveting reading from first to last, The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us.
The bestselling author of The Next 100 Years sharpens his focus to the next ten years, specifically the political shifts that will take place, the decisions that will be made, the consequences of those decisions, and how the American president will acknowledge and manage the fact that the United States has become an empire.
In the long view, history is seen as a series of events—but the course of those events is determined by individuals and their actions. During the next ten years, individual leaders will face significant transitions for their nations: the United States’ relationships with Iran and Israel will be undergoing changes, China will likely confront a major crisis, and the wars in the Islamic world will subside. Unexpected energy and technology developments will emerge, and labor shortages will begin to matter more than financial crises. Distinguished geopolitical forecaster George Friedman analyzes these events from the perspectives of the men and women leading these global changes, focusing in particular on the American president, who will require extraordinary skills to shepherd the United States through this transitional period. The Next Decade is a provocative and fascinating look at the conflicts and opportunities that lie ahead.
Geopolitical Futures is a publication dedicated to predicting the future course of the international system. In doing so, Geopolitical Futures challenges two assumptions. First, that political leaders decide what they will do and individual actions can’t be predicted. Second, that there is no methodology for predicting non-quantitative events.
The fact is that political leaders’ decisions are not individual decisions made independent of external factors or domestic circumstances. Leaders come to conclusions based on the various pressures that are placed on them by the international system, as well as by internal political considerations. Having been shaped by their struggle to attain power, they follow a rational course of action when in power and, therefore, their decisions are predictable.
The second assumption, that non-quantitative forecasting is impossible, is untrue. Human beings make successful decisions daily based on non-quantitative models. The models are informal. Geopolitical Futures uses a formal methodology known as “Geopolitics”, along with other methods, to model how the international system is working and will evolve over time.
RealClearPolitics is the trusted, non-partisan, convener in a content-rich media environment; thoughtfully curating the best coverage from every angle of the day’s most critical issues. As a destination for elected officials, opinion leaders and engaged citizens, RealClearPolitics provides a platform, elevating the best-of-the-best in journalism.
Founded in 2000 by two news junkies from their Chicago apartment, RealClearPolitics started as a passion for combing the Internet for the most interesting political stories of the day. Tom Bevan and John McIntyre wanted a site that contained the most needed information on the need-to-know issues. It wasn’t long before they discovered they weren’t the only ones with this desire. Today, RealClearPolitics has grown from an intelligent aggregator into a comprehensive media property that includes 13 vertical areas of coverage, original reporting from our staff of seasoned reporters, live events, the well-known RCP Poll Average, and original video.
Blogactiv is a blog platform dedicated to European affairs. It is managed by EurActiv.com PLC. It was launched in late 2008 as a complementary service to EurActiv.com with the objective to give the opportunity to Europeans to better engage online in the political debate on key European issues. Blogactiv is building on EurActiv’s readership to become the premier source for opinions, discussions and views on EU affairs.
Why blog on Blogactiv?
If you want to enter the political debate and discuss on issues such as EU Policies and Communications, the enlargement of the European Union, the Lisbon Treaty, Social Europe, Climate Change, Alternative Energy, etc., Blogactiv provides you with the best EU blog platform to say it from. Complementing EurActiv’s independent and neutral coverage of EU Affairs, Blogactiv has become the premier source of user generated content about the future of Europe.